Infectious Disease Modeling Methods as Tools for Informing Response to Novel Influenza Viruses of Unknown Pandemic Potential
Identifieur interne : 000B50 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000B49; suivant : 000B51Infectious Disease Modeling Methods as Tools for Informing Response to Novel Influenza Viruses of Unknown Pandemic Potential
Auteurs : Manoj Gambhir [Australie] ; Catherine Bozio ; Justin J. O'Hagan ; Amra Uzicanin ; Lucinda E. Johnson ; Matthew Biggerstaff ; David L. Swerdlow [Géorgie (pays)]Source :
- Clinical Infectious Diseases: An Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America [ 1058-4838 ] ; 2015.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- MESH :
- pathogénicité : Orthomyxoviridae.
- épidémiologie : Grippe humaine, Maladies transmissibles, États-Unis d'Amérique.
- Grippe humaine, Humains, Modèles théoriques, Pandémies, Planification des mesures d'urgence en cas de catastrophe, Épidémiosurveillance.
- Wicri :
- geographic : États-Unis.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : United States.
- epidemiology : Communicable Diseases, Influenza, Human.
- methods : Disaster Planning.
- pathogenicity : Orthomyxoviridae.
- prevention & control : Influenza, Human.
- Epidemiological Monitoring, Humans, Models, Theoretical, Pandemics.
Abstract
The rising importance of infectious disease modeling makes this an appropriate time for a guide for public health practitioners tasked with preparing for, and responding to, an influenza pandemic. We list several questions that public health practitioners commonly ask about pandemic influenza and match these with analytical methods, giving details on
Url:
DOI: 10.1093/cid/civ083
PubMed: 25878297
PubMed Central: 4481577
Affiliations:
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Le document en format XML
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<term>Influenza, Human (epidemiology)</term>
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>The rising importance of infectious disease modeling makes this an appropriate time for a guide for public health practitioners tasked with preparing for, and responding to, an influenza pandemic. We list several questions that public health practitioners commonly ask about pandemic influenza and match these with analytical methods, giving details on <italic>when</italic>
during a pandemic the methods can be used, <italic>how long</italic>
it might take to implement them, and <italic>what data</italic>
are required. Although software to perform these tasks is available, care needs to be taken to understand: (1) the type of data needed, (2) the implementation of the methods, and (3) the interpretation of results in terms of model uncertainty and sensitivity. Public health leaders can use this article to evaluate the modeling literature, determine which methods can provide appropriate evidence for decision-making, and to help them request modeling work from in-house teams or academic groups.</p>
</div>
</front>
</TEI>
<affiliations><list><country><li>Australie</li>
<li>Géorgie (pays)</li>
</country>
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<tree><noCountry><name sortKey="Biggerstaff, Matthew" sort="Biggerstaff, Matthew" uniqKey="Biggerstaff M" first="Matthew" last="Biggerstaff">Matthew Biggerstaff</name>
<name sortKey="Bozio, Catherine" sort="Bozio, Catherine" uniqKey="Bozio C" first="Catherine" last="Bozio">Catherine Bozio</name>
<name sortKey="Johnson, Lucinda E" sort="Johnson, Lucinda E" uniqKey="Johnson L" first="Lucinda E." last="Johnson">Lucinda E. Johnson</name>
<name sortKey="O Hagan, Justin J" sort="O Hagan, Justin J" uniqKey="O Hagan J" first="Justin J." last="O'Hagan">Justin J. O'Hagan</name>
<name sortKey="Uzicanin, Amra" sort="Uzicanin, Amra" uniqKey="Uzicanin A" first="Amra" last="Uzicanin">Amra Uzicanin</name>
</noCountry>
<country name="Australie"><noRegion><name sortKey="Gambhir, Manoj" sort="Gambhir, Manoj" uniqKey="Gambhir M" first="Manoj" last="Gambhir">Manoj Gambhir</name>
</noRegion>
</country>
<country name="Géorgie (pays)"><noRegion><name sortKey="Swerdlow, David L" sort="Swerdlow, David L" uniqKey="Swerdlow D" first="David L." last="Swerdlow">David L. Swerdlow</name>
</noRegion>
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